Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.071934 1.216500 1.374074 1.558695 1.769235 2.002038 2.279238
2026-01-04 0.828058 1.019271 1.245755 1.534317 1.892983 2.325150 2.886977
2026-01-11 0.715889 0.932176 1.203571 1.570196 2.054279 2.674005 3.531513
2026-01-18 0.626586 0.853874 1.152725 1.576148 2.163540 2.953869 4.105164
2026-01-25 0.549406 0.778429 1.091876 1.554575 2.224421 3.165368 4.598792
2026-02-01 0.483341 0.708811 1.028542 1.518031 2.254101 3.328643 5.032589
2026-02-08 0.428499 0.648259 0.970069 1.479316 2.272057 3.470711 5.442615
2026-02-15 0.395551 0.616124 0.949007 1.492432 2.366424 3.732548 6.059626
2026-02-22 0.362596 0.580211 0.917910 1.485333 2.425994 3.942492 6.611128
2026-03-01 0.331319 0.543638 0.881792 1.465519 2.461075 4.113344 7.111325
2026-03-08 0.296536 0.497960 0.826554 1.408117 2.426437 4.162680 7.404182
2026-03-15 0.274573 0.471582 0.800572 1.397198 2.469127 4.345696 7.948694
2026-03-22 0.260233 0.459324 0.801357 1.440293 2.624819 4.766494 9.021983
2026-03-29 0.236062 0.427886 0.766672 1.418139 2.663574 4.987821 9.764672
2026-04-05 0.222889 0.414665 0.762671 1.451192 2.807901 5.420203 10.971570
2026-04-12 0.207432 0.395451 0.745434 1.456676 2.898734 5.758649 12.031889
2026-04-19 0.190541 0.371679 0.717027 1.436799 2.936028 5.993644 12.905256
2026-04-26 0.173919 0.346710 0.683704 1.403127 2.940573 6.160878 13.652519
2026-05-03 0.158866 0.323357 0.651217 1.367453 2.936327 6.307990 14.372557
2026-05-10 0.150140 0.312060 0.641940 1.379539 3.036015 6.689785 15.678898
2026-05-17 0.140431 0.297737 0.624960 1.372997 3.093368 6.983618 16.816409
2026-05-24 0.130568 0.282132 0.603750 1.354738 3.121790 7.214266 17.830760
2026-05-31 0.118724 0.261102 0.568867 1.301836 3.063597 7.235912 18.326160